Post Peak Medicine

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Introduction

PART 1: FRAMEWORK AND BACKGROUND

Three possible futures

Peak what?

Historical perspective

Awareness and denial

Medical literature review

Legal and ethical issues

Financing a practice

Armed conflict

Peak population and dieback

Personal preparation

Further reading

PART 2: SPECIALTIES

Anesthesiology

Dentistry

Dermatology

Emergency medicine

Family medicine

General surgery

Internal medicine

Midwifery

Nursing

Obstetrics and gynecology

Optometry

Orthopedic surgery

Otolaryngology

Pediatrics

Pharmacy

Psychiatry

Psychology

Public health

Radiology

Urology

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Legal and ethical issues

"The NHS Institute for Innovation and Improvement is a new Venture which will provide an ambitious focus for new ideas, technologies and practices to improve services to patients, users and the public" (A guide to The NHS Institute For Innovation and Improvement, National Health Service website, United Kingdom, 2010). 

"The Excellent Care for All Act is proposed legislation that would improve quality, value and promote evidence-based health care".  (Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care website, Canada, 2010) 

When I was a family physician in England some years ago, and house calls were a common and accepted part of family practice, I was called out one day to a patient's house to cut her toenails.  This unusual request came from the patient's daughter.  The patient was around 70 years old and unable to cut her own toenails because of arthritis.  The daughter was around 50 years old, in relatively good health and would have been quite able to cut her mother's toenails.  Fifty years earlier,the mother had no doubt performed this service for her daughter.  However, the daughter felt the cutting her mother's toenails was beneath her dignity and felt entitled to outsource this service to someone else - namely, me.

Later, while practising in Canada, I saw a 22 year old man on welfare benefits who requested a prescription for Viagra.  Ever happy to oblige, I gave him his prescription as requested, but warned him that Viagra is quite expensive.  He came back a few days later quite angry and complained that I hadn't told him that he would have to pay for it.  He had interpreted "quite expensive" as meaning "quite expensive but the Government will pay for it".  They didn't.

Both of these incidents are aspects of what some commentators have described as the "culture of entitlement."  This may well be a problem in the post-peak medical world when services which people believe they are entitled to may not be available due to a decreasing availability of money, personnel and/or materials.  It would be politically unacceptable for any politician to tell the public that services may deteriorate; instead, politicians promise continuous improvement (see quotations above), which raises people's expectations.  When their expectations are not met, even if those expectations are unrealistic, people are more likely to be dissatisfied, to complain and to litigate - and there will probably be plenty of post-peak lawyers around to help people pursue their claims.

Situations where the usual standard of care cannot be met raise legal issues.  For example, it is the standard of care in Western medicine that if a patient suffers a myocardial infarction or a thromboembolic stroke, the treating physician should consider giving thrombolytic drugs if there are no contra-indications.  But what if thrombolytic drugs are not available due to manufacturing or transport problems - is the treating physician liable for malpractice?

The answer in most cases is "no."  If resources are not available to provide the ideal standard of care, the physician should do his best with what resources are available, and should not be held liable as a result.  However, this still does not excuse negligent treatment with whatever resources are available.

An interesting fictional example illustrating both of these problems can be found in James Howard Kunstler's post-peak novel "World Made By Hand" (2008).  In it, a dentist performs a root canal filling using large doses of morphine because local and general anesthetics are not available.  However, he fails to monitor the patient's condition adequately, the patient suffers a respiratory arrest as a result of the morphine, and dies.  In this example, the dentist would not be liable for failing to use a safer anesthetic (because none was available) but would be liable for negligently using the morphine.

In Kunstler's example there were no post-peak lawyers around to bring a malpractice suit.  Don't expect to be so lucky in real life.

In order to avoid malpractice suits arising from unrealistic expectations meeting limited resources, careful record keeping will be very important.  If the ideal standard of care cannot be met for whatever reason, you should document this fact, and the reason why the standard could not be met, what efforts were made to obtain the appropriate resources, and why the second-line resources were chosen.  You should also familiarise yourself with the effects and side effects of unfamiliar or second-line treatments before using them.

Clinical research into post-peak second line treatments would be difficult because of the standard of care issue.  For example, if conventional antibiotics become unavailable, some form of herbal substitute may have to be used, which will probably not work as well.  However, it would be almost impossible to conduct an ethical trial of a herbal antibiotic in real life patients while the conventional pharmaceutical antibiotic was still available, because it would not meet the current standard of care and would probably put patients at risk. 

In a contracting economy and parallel contracting healthcare system, one debate which needs to occur, but which politicians and the public find it very difficult to engage in, is: what level of risk is acceptable?  Here's an illustration of the kind of dilemma which arises:

A woman comes to her family physician with a breast lump.  The physician examines the lump and thinks it is probably a harmless cyst.  One way of managing this would be to re-examine it in a month's time to see whether it has gotten larger or smaller.  However, to avoid any risk of a malpractice suit he orders a mammogram just to make sure.  The radiologist reports that the mammogram indicates that it is probably just a harmless cyst, but covers himself by suggesting that an ultrasound scan is performed, just to make sure.  The report on the ultrasound scan is that it is probably just a harmless cyst, but a biopsy should be performed, just to make sure.  A biopsy is performed, and it does indeed turn out to be just a harmless cyst.

So what could have been established clinically at very low cost but slightly increased risk, ends up being established by high-tech medicine at very high cost.  A wealthy society with abundant resources can probably afford to do this.  A debt-ridden society with diminishing resources probably can't afford to do this.  However, where there is a mis-match between public expectations and reality exacerbated by political rhetoric, confusion, dissatisfaction and misallocation of resources are likely to result.